Apr 2, 2014 6:25 PM by Rob Perillo
An area of low pressure in the Plains States Thursday will keep mostly cloudy, breezy & warm conditions across Acadiana. A few isolated showers may be possible late Thursday afternoon but better rain chances will arrive after midnight.
Chances of showers and storms will increase late Thursday night through Friday morning as the aforementioned area of low pressure drags a cool front across Acadiana.
The Storm Prediction Center has a fairly large area of a "moderate risk" of severe storms Thursday into Thursday night for a good part of the nation's mid-section, including the entire state of Arkansas into Missouri where storms containing large hail, damaging winds and isolated tornadoes will be possible.
Farther south, a good portion of Acadiana is hatched in for a slight risk of severe storms, mainly late Thursday night, but the storm dynamics should be limited locally. Nonetheless, a few isolated storms could contain damaging winds and a severe weather watch may be possible for portions of Acadiana during the overnight hours, possibly lasting into early Friday.
The frontal boundary should bring temporarily drier air to the region Friday afternoon through early Saturday. The front will then stall in the Gulf of Mexico Saturday and will likely migrate back northward in response to another, and stronger disturbance, that will arrive Sunday.
This disturbance will likely bring the risk of showers and storms back to the area Saturday night into Sunday...and this feature will be potentially much stronger locally yielding a higher risk of severe weather to Acadiana through Sunday.
Saturday night's and Sunday's storminess could be an "all mode" severe weather situation with locally heavy rains of several inches likely, including the risk of storms that could contain damaging winds, hail and isolated tornadoes.
The weather pattern looks quite promising into next week for sunny & mild days accompanied by fair and cool nights.