Tracking the Tropics

Jun 30, 2014 11:45 PM by Rob Perillo

First Depression of the Atlantic Season Forms

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) upgraded the tropical disturbance roughly 90 miles east of Vero Beach, Florida to the first tropical depression of the Atlantic Hurricane Season late Monday night.

Persistent convection (storms) had increased in intensity enough to justify the late Monday upgrade to depression status.

The depression remained lop-sided Monday night with most of the convection south of the low pressure center, but the intensity had increased with storms working their way closer to the center of circulation late Monday.

Tropical Depression #1 was located near 27.6N and 79.1W or roughly 105 miles east-southeast of Cape Canaveral, Florida.

TD #1 was drifting to the southwest at 2mph but is expected to drift slowly westward near the Florida Coast Tuesday but should then take a decided turn to the north by Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds were initiated at 35mph with slow strengthening expected over the next 24-36 hours. TD #1 could be upgraded to a tropical storm Tuesday, if so, the name will be "Arthur".

This system may threaten the coastal potions of the Carolina's Wednesday into Thursday, quite possibly as a strong tropical storm, with up to 70mph winds, per the latest NHC guidance.

In response to the developing system, Tropical Storm Watches were issued for portions of the east coast of Florida.

The system will pose no threat to the Gulf of Mexico as high pressure and the upper level westerlies keep this an Atlantic system.

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