Aug 15, 2013 6:08 PM by Rob Perillo

Disturbance to Emerge In Gulf Friday

The area of disturbed weather and weak low pressure located over the Yucatan Peninsula Thursday evening is expected to emerge in the Southern Gulf of Mexico Friday.

Slow development of this system will not likely occur until the weak surface center moves into the open waters of the Gulf.

Upper level winds and an upper low just to the northwest of the disturbance will keep rather hostile conditions for development, especially in the Northern Gulf.  

The aforementioned features will likely bring a slug of deep tropical moisture toward the Northern Gulf this weekend with heavy rainfall likely earmarked for the Florida Panhandle.

Latest computer models remain very much at odds on the evolution of the pattern in the Gulf over the next 72 hours. Slow development of a weak or hybrid system will be possible with a circulation possibly heading for the Mississippi, Alabama & Florida Coasts this weekend.

Models are also hinting that part of the system may split and move into the Southwestern Gulf this weekend. Conditions in this part of the Gulf appear to be more favorable for tropical development through early next week.

While it's still unclear on the specifics of what may or may not develop in the Gulf through this weekend, it does appear that the Gulf will likely stay unsettled into early next week.

Meanwhile, at this time, weather in Acadiana heading into the weekend will be pretty good for August with mostly sunny skies and lower humidity. Highs will still mange to reach the lower 90s but overnight lows will be flirting with the upper 60s for Saturday morning.

While the weather locally should be nice, stay apprised of the latest forecast from the KATC Weather Lab in case there are significant changes in the Gulf of Mexico.


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